Are we really close to AGI, or is it still a distant sci-fi dream? I honestly don’t know how to feel anymore.

Lately, I’ve been obsessed with reading about the latest in AI research. On one hand, recent breakthroughs in large language models and the sheer amount of compute power available seem to suggest we’re accelerating toward human-level AI faster than anyone predicted. Some experts believe AGI could arrive within the next decade, maybe even in 5 years if things keep up.

But then I read skeptics talking about fundamental gaps—our models still lack true understanding, reasoning, and common sense. They say we’re missing something crucial, and real progress might take decades or even be impossible with current approaches. It’s hard to reconcile these two narratives. Are we on the brink of a breakthrough that will change everything, or are we chasing a mirage?

I feel a mix of excitement and anxiety. If AGI arrives soon, what does that mean for jobs, ethics, and society? Will it be a tool that amplifies our capabilities or a force we can’t control? And if it’s still decades away, I wonder whether the rapid speed of recent developments might have already changed some of the rules.

Honestly, I’m curious—what do you all think? Are we close to achieving true human-like intelligence in AI, or are we still in the early chapters of a much longer story? And how are you personally navigating these uncertain waters?

Would love to hear diverse perspectives—scared, hopeful, skeptical, or optimistic. Let’s have a real conversation about what this might mean for all of us.